Fireworks may have caused Arkansas bird deaths

January 4, 2011

fireworks-may-have-caused-arkansas-bird-deathsScores of dead birds have been sent off for scientific analysis to determine the cause of death

US scientists believe fireworks may have caused thousands of birds to fall from the sky over an Arkansas town on New Year’s Eve.

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Arkansas game officials probe mystery of falling birds

January 2, 2011

arkansas-game-officials-probe-mystery-of-falling-birdsArkansas game officials hope testing scheduled to begin Monday will solve the mystery of why up to 5,000 birds fell from the sky just before midnight New Year’s Eve.

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Lonely Planet’s 10 best things to do in 2011

January 1, 2011

lonely-planete28099s-10-best-things-to-do-in-2011Punctuate 2011 with meaningful experiences. Choose from options that girdle the globe - from cricket bats and birthday parties to sobering memorials or a copy of Led Zeppelin IV.

Here’s our pick of the 10 best things to do next year, fresh from Lonely Planet’s Best in Travel 2011.

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Red Cross connects Yemeni families, Guantanamo detainees

December 29, 2010

red-cross-connects-yemeni-families-guantanamo-detaineesSome families in Yemen have not seen their relatives imprisoned at the U.S. facility in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, in almost a decade.

Now, for the first time, they are able to use video-conferencing technology made available by the International Committee of the Red Cross to change that.

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Celebrity Chinese blogger’s magazine folds

December 29, 2010

celebrity-chinese-bloggers-magazine-foldsThe “Party” is over for one of China’s most popular bloggers.

Han Han, whose blog has clocked more than 441 million hits in the past five years, announced in his latest post Tuesday that he has shut down his literary magazine “Party” after publishing just one issue.

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Consumers lose a little confidence

December 29, 2010

consumers-lose-a-little-confidenceConsumer confidence took an unexpected step backward in December, with Americans more concerned about the overall economy and the jobs forecast, according to an index issued Tuesday.

The index, which had improved in November, slipped to a reading of 52.5 in December from 54.3 the month before, according to a survey of 5,000 households conducted by the Conference Board, a prominent economic research firm.

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How 77th Street’s Elim Chew sold UK style to Singapore

December 29, 2010

how-77th-streets-elim-chew-sold-uk-style-to-singaporeReturning to Singapore in the 1980s after three years in London, Elim Chew was shocked.

“There was nothing here. I couldn’t even find coloured hair products. Nobody had coloured hair,” she remembers.

It was a huge contrast with the urban street fashion which had surrounded and captivated Ms Chew while she was training in the UK’s capital city.

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A chance for a prosperous, stable Haiti

December 28, 2010

a-chance-for-a-prosperous-stable-haitiEditor’s note: Charles MacCormack is the president and CEO of Save the Children, the leading independent organization that creates lasting change for children in need in the United States and around the world.

(CNN) — The images coming out of Haiti since a devastating earthquake rocked the country almost a year ago show death, disease and political uncertainty. Yet these images don’t portray the whole story.

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11 trends for 2011

December 26, 2010

11-trends-for-2011Editor’s note: Marian Salzman is president of Euro RSCG Worldwide PR, North America, and is co-author of “The Future of Men” and “Next Now.” She was named among the “top five trendspotters” by the publishing company VNU in 2004 and has been credited with popularizing the term “metrosexuality.”

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Is Bin Laden moving on from Iraq?

May 21, 2008

Osama Bin Laden\'s latest messages concentrate on Palestinians

The two latest messages believed to be from Osama Bin Laden emphasise the centrality of a struggle against Israel and raise the question as to why he did not concentrate on Iraq.

In the first statement, posted on the internet on 16 May, he said: “My talk to you addresses the main root of conflict… namely, the Palestinian question. This conflict is escalating due to your [the West's] current policies. I would like to stress here that the Palestinian question is my nation’s top issue.”

In the second, on 18 May, he attacked Arab leaders for not doing more to help: “Every day, the herd wishes the wolves would stop preying on it. Those kings and leaders sacrificed Palestine and Al-Aqsa [the mosque in Jerusalem] to keep their crowns. … But we will not be relieved of this responsibility.”

The reference to the Palestinians has always been present in the al-Qaeda leader’s statements over the years, but it has often been sidelined by other tactical and strategic interests, from Saudi Arabia to Afghanistan to the Danish cartoons. Iraq has been one of the most prominent issues for him.

Waking from slumber

The two new statements contrast with the importance given to Iraq in another message in March: “Iraq is the perfect base to set up the jihad to liberate Palestine. Palestine will be restored to us, with God’s permission, when we wake up from our slumber.”

The word “slumber” (and his criticism of Arab rulers) gives a clue to Bin Laden’s thinking. He wants more to be done.

Hence perhaps the shift from Iraq, which has come to mean difficulties, to the “Palestinian question”, which can attract support.

This has led to a theory among some western intelligence analysts that al-Qaeda accepts that it is in trouble in Iraq.

No-brainer

Nigel Inkster, Director of Transnational Threats and Political Risk at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London, said: “In reality al-Qaeda has not done much against Israel. It is hard to do so. Through its now dead agent in Iraq, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, it hoped to attack Israel after establishing a base in Iraq, but the hope of establishing that base has probably failed.

Ayman al-Zawahiri
Ayman al-Zawahiri: was questioned about Muslim casualties

“Al Qaeda could now be preparing its followers for a strategic failure in Iraq. It therefore needs a rallying cry and Palestine is a no-brainer.”

Mr Inkster, formerly deputy head of Britain’s foreign intelligence agency MI6, adds that one reason for this possible shift is the number of complaints about Muslims killed in Iraq and elsewhere.

“Al-Qaeda’s number two, Ayman al-Zawahiri, who is like the chief executive officer to Bin Laden’s chairmanship, recently held an open day of questions on the internet,” he said.

“The issue of Muslim casualties was the biggest issue. Al-Qaeda recognises this is a not a good story and needs to rebrand. Hence this apparent move away from talking about Iraq.”

In that internet session, al-Zawahiri was forced to defend killing Muslim bystanders, who, he said, had died because of “unintentional error” or had been used as “shields” by al-Qaeda’s enemies.

Of course, Osama Bin Laden can easily return to the theme of Iraq, and events there might prove the theory wrong, but the assessment that al-Qaeda is suffering from the reduction of its forces there is reflected in a wider concept about the current strengths and weakness of the organisation.

There is a lively debate at the moment about whether what is called “al-Qaeda Central” - the leadership probably based in the tribal areas of Pakistan - is in control or whether the group is now kept going by autonomous cells which form spontaneously.

Leaderless jihad

Marc Sageman, a former CIA officer and now writer on international security issues, is the leading proponent of what he calls “leaderless jihad” (the title of his latest book).

In an article in Foreign Policy magazine in April he argued that young, self-recruited activists constituted the latest wave of global jihad.


In a question and answer session following publication he said: “In the past three years, because of decreasing Pakistani military pressure in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas of Pakistan… some al Qaeda leaders have been able to regroup. They definitely try to plot against the West and the United States, but they have been unable to project their capability outside Pakistan and Afghanistan.

“But unlike [in] the years prior to September 11, al-Qaeda no longer seems to have the luxury of coordinating large transnational attacks without being detected. The difference has been the international community’s success in containing the threat in the past six years… Having said this, as long as al-Qaeda leaders exist, there is still a threat that cannot be ignored.”

One might take issue, in London and Madrid, with the claim that the threat has been contained, but the argument is clear: al-Qaeda has broken up into groups that are inspired by the leadership but not necessarily controlled by “al-Qaeda Central”. It gives them strength, in that they proliferate in unknown cells, but it also leaves them vulnerable to being isolated.

Nigel Inkster agrees up to a point: “Many people on the books of intelligence agencies have no real connection with al-Qaeda Central. But western agencies think that al-Qaeda Central still seeks command and control.”

Assessment

He offered this overall assessment: “It is difficult to be categorical. Intelligence agencies are very worried about al-Qaeda in North West Pakistan. Yemen is a worrying trend, as is Somalia and North Africa.

“There is some evidence that support for Osama Bin Laden has been dropping in the Arab world because of revulsion about al-Qaeda behaviour and especially the killing of Muslims.

“On the other hand, there is still an appetite and ambition to engage in terrorism spectaculars in western Europe and US, though the capacity might not match the ambition.

“But they only have to be lucky once.”

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